ESPN experts in statistics John Hollinger provided a template for the probability of each team winning a playoff the next launch of prediction, but after several tests to prove the probability of the Cleveland Cavaliers won significantly more than other teams, Los Angeles The Lakers are the most promising in the brutal Western in the finals of the team.
Suppose each team started the playoffs ranked in accordance with the current journey, the first round of 16 teams winning percentage ranks among the top knight is no suspense, they beat the Toronto Raptors in eastern eighth probability of up to 96%, while the ranks The second is the Orlando Magic beat the Charlotte Bobcats their probability of 88%, and the third is the rival Dallas Mavericks Portland Trail Blazers, 78%, 76% down followed by Atlanta Hawks 73% and 73% of the Los Angeles Lakers, Boston Celtics, Utah Jazz 64% and 62% of the Phoenix Suns. In the ESPN seems, has swept the Cavaliers this season and the Lakers beat the Nuggets twice, because of their declining morale and the emergence of injuries, playoffs first round promotion probability is only 38% of the poor, they are likely to eventually phase out the sun.
Suppose a higher winning percentage eight strong teams are able to cut their semi-final League playoffs, then the Celtics first-round clash with the Knights still have a high winning percentage, their winning percentage to 82%, while the second is the Lakers face the sun, winning percentage of 75%. Eagles will face a little magic into a bitter struggle, but they still have 71% winning percentage, Jazz and Mavericks final winner who became quite difficult to predict, calf's winning percentage to 60% higher, but the odds are up 4 percent of the Jazz Subversion is still very likely opponents.
Events into the last four World War, if the Lakers face the Mavericks in the Western finals, they will face the most difficult journey west playoffs attacks, their winning percentage is only 62% of the time, and if the Cavaliers in the Eastern Conference finals and magic meet last year's old rival, and their winning percentage is only 63%, this is a real sense NBA Eastern peak of their alliance confrontation. King of the division and if the final two Lectra with the Union's most powerful opponents qualify for the finals, two teams winning percentage comparing how is it? Knight is 66%, the Lakers only 34%。
From every point of view, Knight won the winning percentage should be significantly higher than any other team, the reason is mainly because they are the first two rounds of the winning percentage is too high in the Eastern Conference Finals and NBA Finals still retain about two-thirds due to the probability of winning. If the usual process, Knight 96% probability of winning by 82% multiplied by 66% in the final 63% and 32.7%, while the Lakers after taking such a calculated probability of their winning only 10.9% only, in this regard, they only Knight one-third, compared to the third of the magic of 9.7% (if the magic qualify for the finals, they and the Lakers win probability is 42% compared to 58%), Los Angeles, there is no advantage.
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